M&A Market Update – Fall 2024
If you happen to follow the merger and acquisition (M&A) marketplace, you are well aware that activity has been relatively subdued. After a couple of record activity years emerging from the pandemic, dealmakers and market participants witnessed a more conservative transactional attitude by both buyers and sellers in 2022 and 2023 – in large part due to the well-covered macro influences of 1) interest rates, 2) inflation, and 3) economic and geopolitical concerns. When you mix rising costs with uncertainty, the acquisitive world typically pulls back to reassess and reposition.
In the face of the muted environment there have been calls by analysts, researchers and industry participants alike that the deal environment will show signs of greater life in 2024 as the above-referenced headwinds have evidenced either progress or resilience. Inflation is coming in-line with the Fed target (2.4% annual increase in the CPI for September), an interest rate cutting campaign has just begun (50 bps cut by the Fed in September), and the economy is holding in there (GDP growth of 3.0% in the 2nd quarter per the 3rd estimate). While the macro climate appears to be lining up to support the more vibrant deal thesis, the proof has yet to fully materialize in terms of robust transaction activity. It appears the engine needs more time to warm up.
