BC Journal

#Finterms: Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate risk refers to the potential for the value of an investment to fluctuate due to changes in interest rates.

When interest rates rise, the value of fixed-income securities typically decreases, as newer bonds offer higher yields.

Conversely, when interest rates fall, the value of existing bonds tends to increase, as their higher yields become more attractive.

The inverse relationship of interest rates and bond prices is an important consideration for investors, as it can influence portfolio performance and financial outcomes.

#finterms #interest #interestrates #risk #bonds

What About Bonds? Details You Need to Know

Bonds matter. According to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, (SIFMA) the value of the global bond markets was greater than the value of global equity markets at the end of 2021 ($126.9 trillion vs $124.4 trillion).

The Basics

When you buy a bond, you are lending money to a borrower, which may be the U.S. Treasury, a corporation or a municipality, among others.

A bond has three basic components:

  1. Principal (aka the Face amount or Par value): The amount you have loaned to the borrower.
  2. Term: The period of time from the issue date to the Maturity date, e.g. two years. At maturity your principal will be returned to you.
  3. Coupon (aka interest rate): The annual rate of interest paid to you over the term of the bond in annual or semi-annual installments. 

The largest issuer of bonds is the U.S. Treasury. They come in three flavors: Bills, with terms from four to 52 weeks; Notes, which have maturities between two and 10 years; and Bonds with maturities of 20 and 30 years. (Collectively, “treasuries”.)

You can purchase them directly from the Treasury. (www.TreasuryDirect.gov)

Brokerage firms and banks provide access to the secondary market where millions of dollars of bonds are traded daily. The price of a bond in the secondary market will likely be higher or lower than its par value. (Selling at a “premium” or a “discount”.)

If a bond with a $1,000 par value is purchased at a discount, say $900, it will mature at par and the investor’s rate of return calculation would reflect that $100 gain. Conversely, had the bond been purchased at a premium, say, $1,100, the $100 loss at maturity would be recognized in the investor’s rate of return calculation.

#Finterms: Profit & Loss Statement

A Profit & Loss Statement, or “P&L” for short, is a foundational financial statement used to report a business’s sales (revenue) activity, the cost to produce those sales, and other operating expenses. 

Broadly speaking, after deducting the expense related to the cost of goods sold and general & administrative overhead, the P&L statement summarizes the resultant profitability from the sales a company produces.

Market Commentary

If one was to watch CNBC or Bloomberg for one hour, they would be left with completely divergent views on the state of the capital markets.  As we have always heard, for every stock sold there is a buyer.  Similarly, for every opinion shared, there is an opposite viewpoint.  Listening to numerous Chief Investment Strategists, it is clear that significant differences exist from firm to firm.  So how is one to interpret these varying viewpoints?  We would suggest stepping back and attempting to establish a more macro perspective of the landscape.

From 40,000 feet, the picture and “media noise” is somewhat reduced.

Macro headwinds continue to drive market direction.  Currently there are legit concerns for a global recession.  Although economic conditions on the surface here in the US feel weak, they feel (and are) even weaker globally.  As the FED and other Central Banks slowly removed the punchbowl from the party, investors are now feeling the subsequent hangover.